Texas gubernatorial election, 2014

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Texas gubernatorial election, 2014
Texas
2010 ←
November 4, 2014→ 2018

 Greg Abbott by Gage Skidmore.jpgWendy Davis 2013.jpeg
NomineeGreg Abbott[1]Wendy Davis[1]
PartyRepublicanDemocratic

Incumbent Governor

Rick Perry
Republican

 
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Texas gubernatorial election, 2014
Texas
2010 ←
November 4, 2014→ 2018

 Greg Abbott by Gage Skidmore.jpgWendy Davis 2013.jpeg
NomineeGreg Abbott[1]Wendy Davis[1]
PartyRepublicanDemocratic

Incumbent Governor

Rick Perry
Republican

The 2014 Texas gubernatorial election will take place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Texas. This will be the first open election for Governor since 1990. Incumbent Republican Governor Rick Perry, who has served in the office since December 21, 2000, has announced that he will not run for an unprecedented fourth full term as Governor.

The election will take place between nominees who were selected on March 4, 2014: Republican State Attorney General Greg Abbott and Democratic State Senator Wendy Davis. The ballot will also feature Libertarian Party candidate Kathie Glass[2] and Green Party candidate Brandon Parmer.[3]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Withdrew[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Greg
Abbott
Lisa
Fritsch
Larry
Kilgore
Miriam
Martinez
Tom
Pauken
OtherUndecided
UoT/Texas TribuneFebruary 7–17, 2014461± 4.56%90%4%1%5%
UoT/Texas TribuneOctober 18–27, 2013519± 5.02%50%3%1%2%2%42%
Texas LyceumSeptember 6–20, 2013279± 5.87%22%2%1%0%74%

Results[edit]

Republican primary results[17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanGreg Abbott1,224,01491.48%
RepublicanLisa Fritsch59,2214.42%
RepublicanMiriam Martinez35,5852.65%
RepublicanLarry Kilgore19,0551.42%
Totals1,337,875100%

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Wendy
Davis
Ray
Madrigal
OtherUndecided
UoT/Texas TribuneFebruary 7–17, 2014263± 6.04%87%13%

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results[31]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticWendy Davis432,59578.08%
DemocraticRay Madrigal121,41921.91%
Totals554,014100%

Libertarian nomination[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Withdrew[edit]

Results[edit]

Kathie Glass was nominated at the 2014 party convention.[2]

Green nomination[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Independents[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declined[edit]

Primary analysis[edit]

In the primary election, Greg Abbott polled 787,766 more votes than Wendy Davis though both were considered certain winners of their party nominations. The Republican turnout overall exceeded the Democrat strength by 786,487, nearly the same gap as that between Abbott and Davis.[42]

Both parties saw their turnout decline from 2010. The GOP had 151,101 fewer primary voters in 2014 than in 2010; the Democrats declined by 133,354. Republicans had a total turnout of 9.8 percent in 2014; the Democrats, 3.7 percent.[42]

Political scientist Mark P. Jones of Rice University in Houston, declared that the primary returns "looks bad for Democrats. There also wasn't very much going on [for Democrats] in 2010, yet more people voted in 2010 than voted in 2014. ... Instead of moving toward turning Texas blue, they are moving back towards Texas as an even redder state."[43]

Davis' intraparty rival and political unknown Ray Madrigal (born c. 1942) of Corpus Christi finished with nearly 21 percent of the vote, but he still outpolled the nominee in two high-profile South Texas counties with large numbers of Hispanic voters, Webb (56-44 percent) and Hidalgo (53-47 percent). In the smaller Willacy and LaSalle counties, Madrigal finished ahead of Davis with nearly 61 and 58 percent, respectively.[42]

In the 1994 Democratic gubernatorial primary, a candidate similar to Madrigal, Gary Espinosa, polled 22.2 percent of the vote against incumbent Ann Richards, who was thereafter unseated by George W. Bush. Richards remains thus far the last Democrat to have served as governor of Texas. Despite the similarity with 1994, Davis told a candidate forum after the primary that she expects no difficulty in attracting large Hispanic support in South Texas in her campaign against Abbott. Democratic operatives insist that there is little correlation between primary turnout, which is traditionally very low in Texas, and the prospects to win a general election.[44]

Davis advisor Matt Angle said that he still believes the Republicans performed poorly in the primary and will be damaged in the general election by the rhetoric against illegal immigration in the heated primary race for lieutenant governor, which continued to a runoff contest on May 27 between the incumbent David Dewhurst and the frontrunner, State Senator Dan Patrick, both of Houston. Conversely, Republican consultant Matt Mackowiak said that the Democrats missed an opportunity to bring voters to the polls in a show of strength: "If they think they can skip the primary and have a stunning victory [in the general election], that's extremely naïve."[43]

General election[edit]

Debates[edit]

The first of two confirmed gubernatorial debates between Wendy Davis and Greg Abbott took place at the Edinburg Conference Center at Renaissance at 6 p.m. on Friday, September 19, 2014, co-hosted by KGBT-TV, The Monitor and KTLM-TV.[45] KGBT-TV posted the complete video online.[46] The debate took place in Edinburg, Texas, and it gave both candidates an opportunity to appeal to the large Hispanic community that is looked at as an "increasingly important voting bloc in Texas." [47]

Polling[edit]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Greg
Abbott (R)
Wendy
Davis (D)
OtherUndecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 20143,987± 3%57%37%0%6%
UoT/Texas TribuneOctober 10–19, 2014866± 3.6%54%38%8%[48]
Survey Research CenterSeptember 22–October 16, 2014781± 3.5%47%32%2.1%[49]17%
Crosswind CommunicationsOctober 9–12, 2014500± 4.33%52.4%31%0.4%16.2%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 1–2, 2014840± 3.5%51%40%3%7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovSeptember 20–October 1, 20144,177± 2%54%40%0%5%
Texas LyceumSeptember 11–25, 2014666± 3.8%49%40%4%[50]8%
Benenson*September 2–4, 2014800± 3.5%46%38%16%
WPA Opinion Research^September 3, 2014 ?± ?53%35%12%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovAugust 18–September 2, 20144,189± 2%56%38%2%5%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 4–5, 2014850± 3.5%48%40%3%9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovJuly 5–24, 20144,320± 3.7%54%37%1%9%
UoT/Texas TribuneMay 30–June 8, 20141,200± 2.83%44%32%7%[51]17%
Texas Tech UniversityApril 14–17, 2014454± 4.6%54%25%6%15%
Public Policy PollingApril 10–13, 2014559± 4.1%51%37%13%
Emerson CollegeMarch 7–12, 2014494± ?49.3%41.8%8.9%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 3–4, 2014500± 4.5%53%41%1%4%
UoT/Texas TribuneFebruary 7–17, 20141,200± 2.83%47%36%17%
Public Policy PollingNovember 1–4, 2013500± 4.4%50%35%15%
47%37%9%8%
UoT/Texas TribuneOctober 18–27, 20131,200± 3.3%40%34%25%
40%35%5%[52]20%
Texas LyceumSeptember 6–20, 2013798± 3.47%29%21%50%
Public Policy PollingJune 28–July 1, 2013500± 4.4%48%40%12%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 24–27, 2013400± 4.9%46%34%20%

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b "Davis, Abbott Clinch Party Nominations". KWTX.com. March 4, 2014. Retrieved March 5, 2014. 
  2. ^ a b "2014 Statewide Offices List". Libertarian Party of Texas. Retrieved July 15, 2014. 
  3. ^ "Green Party of Texas - Peace * Justice * Democracy * Ecology". Retrieved October 11, 2014. 
  4. ^ Hoppe, Christy (July 14, 2013). "Greg Abbott makes it official: He's running for governor of Texas". Retrieved July 15, 2013. 
  5. ^ Rauf, David (October 8, 2013). "Another Republican jumps into the race for Texas governor". San Antonio Express-News. Retrieved October 9, 2013. 
  6. ^ Fernandez, Manny (November 23, 2012). "With Stickers, a Petition and Even a Middle Name, Secession Fever Hits Texas". The New York Times. Retrieved February 20, 2013. 
  7. ^ "Miriam Martinez says she'll run for governor". The Monitor. Retrieved January 22, 2013. 
  8. ^ "Tom Pauken withdraws from GOP governor’s race". The Dallas Morning News. 5 December 2013. Retrieved 9 December 2013. 
  9. ^ Stutz, Terrence. "David Dewhurst ‘101 percent’ sure he’ll seek re-election as Texas lieutenant governor | Dallasnews.com - News for Dallas, Texas - The Dallas Morning News". Dallasnews.com. Retrieved July 8, 2013. 
  10. ^ "Dewhurst affirms re-election campaign". KTRK-TV Houston. Associated Press. August 7, 2013. Retrieved August 9, 2013. [dead link]
  11. ^ "Debra Medina - Looking forward to a weekend of...". Facebook. Retrieved July 8, 2013. 
  12. ^ "Medina may run for Texas office again in 2014 - PoliTex". Blogs.star-telegram.com. February 20, 2012. Retrieved June 24, 2013. 
  13. ^ "Texas Gov. Perry Won't Seek Re-election in 2014". Newsmax.com. Retrieved July 8, 2013. 
  14. ^ "Texas Municipal Police Association Endorses Greg Abbott". Abbott for Governor. July 29, 2013. Retrieved October 7, 2013. 
  15. ^ "TOM PAUKEN FOR GOVERNOR OF TEXAS". Citizens for the Republic. July 19, 2013. Retrieved October 7, 2013. 
  16. ^ "I want to thank my good friend and fellow Reaganite Mark Levin". Facebook. September 21, 2013. Retrieved October 7, 2013. 
  17. ^ http://elections.sos.state.tx.us/elchist.exe 2014 Republican Party Primary Election
  18. ^ "Wendy Davis tells Democrats she’s in". Politico. September 26, 2013. Retrieved September 26, 2013. 
  19. ^ "Wendy Davis, of filibuster fame, to run for Texas governor". Reuters. September 26, 2013. Retrieved September 27, 2013. 
  20. ^ "2014 campaign now off and running in Texas". Star-Telegram. November 9, 2013. Retrieved November 15, 2013. 
  21. ^ Cooper, Gary (January 17, 2013). "Mayor Julian Castro says he's not running for governor in 2014". KENS 5. Retrieved January 18, 2013. 
  22. ^ "First Reading". www.statesman.com. Retrieved April 24, 2013. 
  23. ^ Kennedy, Bud (June 29, 2013). "To Kinky Friedman, a Wendy-for-governor campaign is no joke | Bud Kennedy | Fort Worth, Arlin". Star-telegram.com. Retrieved October 5, 2013. 
  24. ^ "Twitter / anniseparker: LOL. I appreciate the". Twitter.com. Retrieved July 18, 2013. 
  25. ^ "Mike Villarreal - My mother was the first to call me about...". Facebook. Retrieved June 20, 2013. 
  26. ^ "2014 Texas Governor's Race: Democratic Primary Preview". Burnt Orange Report. February 18, 2013. Retrieved June 26, 2013. 
  27. ^ "Bill White says Texas lagging in skilled jobs - Houston Chronicle". Chron.com. February 28, 2013. Retrieved June 20, 2013. 
  28. ^ Gonzalez, John W. (October 7, 2013). "Mayor Castro endorses Wendy Davis for governor". San Antonio Express-News. Retrieved October 7, 2013. 
  29. ^ a b c Joseph, Cameron (October 4, 2013). "EMILY's List endorses Wendy Davis". The Hill. Retrieved October 7, 2013. 
  30. ^ "HRC Endorses Wendy Davis for Texas Governor". Human Rights Campaign. January 29, 2014. 
  31. ^ http://elections.sos.state.tx.us/elchist.exe 2014 Democratic Party Primary Election
  32. ^ "Interview with Texas Libertarian Party Gubernatorial Hopeful Robert Bell". Independent Political Report. January 27, 2014. Retrieved February 14, 2014. 
  33. ^ "Retired Army sergeant running for governor". Killeen Daily Herald. January 5, 2014. Retrieved February 14, 2014. 
  34. ^ "Libertarian Kathie Glass Announces Bid for Governor". The Texas Tribune. June 26, 2013. Retrieved October 5, 2013. 
  35. ^ "2014 Texas Statewide Candidates". Burnt Orange Report. Retrieved October 5, 2013. 
  36. ^ "Chapman for Governor". The Dalhart Texan. July 15, 2013. Retrieved July 15, 2013. 
  37. ^ "Chapman Withdraws from Texas Gubernatorial Race" – Very Good Citizenship Today, personal blog of Gene Chapman. Published 8 January 2014. Retrieved 12 January 2014.
  38. ^ "Lee Wrights Considering Run for Texas Governor | Independent Political Report: Third Party News". Independent Political Report. July 5, 2013. Retrieved July 9, 2013. 
  39. ^ Ziggler, Jed. "Lee Wrights Drops Out of Texas Gubernatorial Race". Independent Political Report. Retrieved 2014-03-05. 
  40. ^ "Texas Greens Occupy Ballot In 2014". Green Party. December 10, 2013. Retrieved January 29, 2014. 
  41. ^ Peggy Fikac (October 28, 2013). "Medina not about to run for governor". Express News. Retrieved November 5, 2013. (registration required)
  42. ^ a b c Texas Secretary of State, 2014 Democratic gubernatorial primary election returns
  43. ^ a b Peggy Fikac of the San Antonio Express-News staff, "Turnout less than in 2010", Laredo Morning Times, March 10, 2014, pp. 1, 12A
  44. ^ Ross Ramsey of The Texas Tribune, "Primary shows weak Davis", Laredo Morning Times, March 11, 2014, pp. 1, 14A
  45. ^ Abbott, Davis to debate in the Rio Grande Valley, staff, Action 4 News, September 19, 2014
  46. ^ Texas Governor Debate, KGBT-TV, September 19, 2014
  47. ^ Richter, Marie. "Texas gubernatorial candidates court Hispanic vote in debate". Reuters. Retrieved 21 September 2014. 
  48. ^ Kathie Glass (L) 6%, Brandon Parmer (G) 2%
  49. ^ Kathie Glass (L) 0.7%, Brandon Parmer (G) 1.4%
  50. ^ Kathie Glass (L) 2%, Brandon Parmer (G) 2%
  51. ^ Kathie Glass (L) 3%, Brandon Parmer (G) 1%, Other 3%
  52. ^ Kathie Glass (L)

External links[edit]