Punxsutawney Phil

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Groundhog Day 2005 in Punxsutawney featuring Phil

Punxsutawney Phil is a mythical groundhog in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania. On February 2 (Groundhog Day) of each year, the town of Punxsutawney celebrates the legendary groundhog with a festive atmosphere of music and food. During the ceremony, which begins well before the winter sunrise, Phil emerges from his temporary home on Gobbler's Knob, located in a rural area about 2 miles (3.2 km) east of town. According to the tradition, if Phil sees his shadow and returns to his hole, he has predicted six more weeks of winter-like weather. If Phil does not see his shadow, he has predicted an "early spring."[1] The date of Phil's prognostication is known as Groundhog Day in the United States and Canada, and has been celebrated since 1887.

A select group, called the Inner Circle, takes care of Phil year-round and also plans the annual ceremony. Members of the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club's Inner Circle are recognizable by their top hats and tuxedos.

Punxsutawney Phil lore[edit]

Punxsutawney Phil fans say that there is only one Phil, and that all the other groundhog weathermen are impostors. It is claimed that Phil has made weather prognostications since 1887, making Phil a legendary rather than factual figure, since groundhogs only live up to six years.[2] It is publicly unknown how many groundhogs have actively played Phil.

According to the Groundhog Club, Phil, after making the prediction, speaks to the Club President in "Groundhogese", which only the current president can understand, and then his prediction is translated for the entire world.

The Groundhog Day celebration is rooted in a Celtic tradition that says if a hibernating animal casts a shadow on February 2, the Pagan holiday of Imbolc, winter will last another six weeks. If no shadow was seen, legend says spring would come early.

The ties in Pennsylvania may actually come from Germans, when clear skies on Candlemas Day, February 2, were said to herald cold weather ahead. In Germany, the tradition morphed into a myth that if the sun came out on Candlemas, a hedgehog would cast its shadow, predicting snow all the way into May. When German immigrants settled in Pennsylvania, they transferred the tradition onto local fauna, replacing hedgehogs with groundhogs.

In media and popular culture[edit]

Miniature replica at MRRV, Carnegie Science Center, Pittsburgh

Past predictions[edit]

1887–1888"Long winter"
1889No record
1890"Early spring"
1891–1897No record
1898"Long winter"
1899No record
1900–1901"Long winter"
1902"Early spring"
1903–1933"Long winter"
1934"Early spring"
1935–1941"Long winter"
1942"War clouds have blacked out parts of the shadow."[10]
1943No appearance (World War II)
1944–1949"Long winter"
1950"Early spring"
1951–1969"Long winter"
1970"Early spring"
1971–1974"Long winter"
1975"Early spring"
1976–1982"Long winter"
1983"Early spring"
1984–1985"Long winter"
1986"Early spring"
1987"Long winter"
1988"Early spring"
1989"Long winter"
1990"Early spring"
1991–1994"Long winter"
1995"Early spring"
1996"Long winter"
1997"Early spring"
1998"Long winter"
1999"Early spring"
2000–2006"Long winter"
2007"Early spring"
2008–2010"Long winter"
2011"Early spring"
2012"Long winter"
2013"Early spring"
2014"Long winter"

Of these 117 predictions on record so far, Punxsutawney Phil has predicted an "early spring" 16 times (13.7%). As to his accuracy, according to the StormFax Weather Almanac and records kept since 1887, Phil's predictions have been correct 39% of the time.[4]


  1. ^ "Groundhog.org FAQ". Groundhog.org. Retrieved 2009-02-02. 
  2. ^ Marmota monax (Linnaeus); Woodchuck. Pick4.pick.uga.edu. Retrieved on 2014-06-10.
  3. ^ Pulling, Anne Frances (2001). Around Punxsutawney (Images of America). Arcadia Publishing. p. 128. ISBN 978-0-7385-0530-5. 
  4. ^ a b http://www.digitaljournal.com/article/342679 Stormfax Weather Almanac.
  5. ^ "Punxsutawny Phil sentenced to DEATH: Ohio court indicts famous groundhog with misrepresentation of Spring after cold weather continues". Daily Mail. March 21, 2013. Retrieved March 21, 2013. 
  6. ^ "Prosecutor indicts groundhog for misrepresentation of early spring". WHIO-TV. March 21, 2013. Retrieved March 21, 2013. 
  7. ^ "Simpson says Friday sun before Sunday snow". WHIO-TV. March 21, 2013. Retrieved March 21, 2013. 
  8. ^ "Prediction groundhog faces 'death'". 3 News NZ. March 25, 2013. 
  9. ^ Mandak, Joe (March 25, 2013). "Pa. groundhog's handler taking blame for forecast". Seattle Times. Associated Press. Retrieved 26 December 2013. 
  10. ^ The Punxsutawney Spirit. February 2, 1942. 

Further reading[edit]

External links[edit]

Coordinates: 40°56′10″N 78°57′14″W / 40.93611°N 78.95389°W / 40.93611; -78.95389