Florida gubernatorial election, 2014

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Florida gubernatorial election, 2014
Florida
2010 ←
November 4, 2014 (2014-November-04)→ 2018

 Rick Scott.jpgGov charlie crist.jpgAdrianWyllieForGov.jpg
NomineeRick ScottCharlie CristAdrian Wyllie
PartyRepublicanDemocraticLibertarian
Running mateCarlos López-CanteraAnnette Taddeo-GoldsteinGreg Roe

Incumbent Governor

Rick Scott
Republican

 
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Florida gubernatorial election, 2014
Florida
2010 ←
November 4, 2014 (2014-November-04)→ 2018

 Rick Scott.jpgGov charlie crist.jpgAdrianWyllieForGov.jpg
NomineeRick ScottCharlie CristAdrian Wyllie
PartyRepublicanDemocraticLibertarian
Running mateCarlos López-CanteraAnnette Taddeo-GoldsteinGreg Roe

Incumbent Governor

Rick Scott
Republican

The 2014 Florida gubernatorial election will take place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Florida and Lieutenant Governor of Florida. Additionally, Florida law mandates a minimum of 8 days of early voting before elections, during which voters may cast ballots at a limited number of locations (usually county courthouses or other government offices/buildings). Absentee voting also permits voting by mail, but absentee ballots must be received by the proper election office by the time polls close on election day.

Incumbent Republican Governor Rick Scott is running for re-election to a second term in office.[1] The Democratic nominee is former Governor Charlie Crist. Crist was elected Governor as a Republican in 2006 but did not run for re-election in 2010, instead ran for the U.S. Senate. In April 2010 and while still in office, he left the Republican Party to run as an Independent instead. He was defeated in the general election by Republican nominee Marco Rubio. In December 2012, Crist joined the Democratic Party. Also running are Libertarian nominee Adrian Wyllie and several candidates with no party affiliation.

Scott is considered vulnerable as reflected in his low approval ratings. The consensus among The Cook Political Report,[2] Governing,[3] The Rothenberg Political Report,[4] Sabato's Crystal Ball,[5] Daily Kos Elections,[6] and others[7][8][9] is that the contest is a tossup.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Withdrew[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rick
Scott
Someone
else
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingMarch 15–18, 2013326± 5.4%42%43%14%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 11–13, 2013436± 4.7%50%40%10%
QuinnipiacDecember 11–17, 20121,261± 2.8%30%53%16%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 22–25, 2011472± 4.5%53%37%10%

Results[edit]

Republican primary results[31]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanRick Scott831,88787.65%
RepublicanElizabeth Cuevas-Neunder100,49610.59%
RepublicanYinka Adeshina16,7611.77%
Totals949,144100%

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Withdrew[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Charlie
Crist
Buddy
Dyer
Dan
Gelber
Pam
Iorio
Anthony Shriver
Kennedy
Jimmy
Morales
Bill
Nelson
Nan
Rich
Alex
Sink
Rod
Smith
OtherUnde-
cided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 16–21, 2014243± 6.3%58%16%25%
Fabrizio McLaughlinNovember 24–26, 2013380± ?45%32%4%19%
QuinnipiacNovember 12–17, 20131,646± 2.4%60%12%2%26%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 27–29, 2013337± ?59%16%25%
Public Policy PollingMarch 15–18, 2013500± 5.4%50%9%3%21%16%
Hamilton StrategiesJan. 30 – February 4, 2013600± 4%43%1%14%5%37%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 11–13, 2013401± 4.9%52%4%13%1%18%12%
SEA Polling[dead link]September 2012600± 4%29%3%8%2%1%31%26%
St. Pete PollsSeptember 8, 20121,689± 2.4%60.9%7%3.5%25.1%3.4%

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results[31]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticCharlie Crist623,00174.36%
DemocraticNan Rich214,79525.64%
Totals837,796100%

Libertarian Party[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Withdrew[edit]

Declined[edit]

Independents[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Withdrew[edit]

Disqualified[edit]

Write-in candidates[edit]

  • Running mate: Bob Wirengard[75]
  • Running mate: Diane Smith[76]
  • Runnning mate: Georgianna G. Harris[77]
  • Running mate: Juanita Lockett[78]
  • Running mate: Christine Timmon[79]

General election[edit]

Candidates[edit]

The following candidates will appear on the ballot for the general election:[80]

  • Running mate: Greg Roe, insurance executive[83]
  • Running mate: Jose Augusto Matos
  • Running mate: Lateresa A. Jones

Endorsements[edit]

Predictions[edit]

SourceRanking
Cook Political Report[2]Toss up
Governing[3]Toss up
The Rothenberg Political Report[4]Toss up
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Toss up
Daily Kos Elections[6]Toss up

Campaigning[edit]

As of early June 2014, Scott had spent almost $13m since March on television adverts attacking Charlie Crist, who then appeared the likely Democratic nominee. Although the ads resulted in a tightening of the race, this came about by decreasing Crist's favorability ratings. By contrast, Scott's favorability ratings have not increased.[116] By late September, Scott's television ad spending had exceeded $35m.[117][118]

Crist hopes to draw strong support from Florida's more than 1.6 million registered black voters, an effort that is challenging with regards to his previous political career as a Republican. A poll conducted in September 2014 by Quinnipiac University revealed his support among black voters at 72 percent against Scott, which is below the 90 percent analysts believe he needs to win.[119]

Scott and Crist met in a debate on October 15, held by the Florida Press Association at Broward College.[120] The debate required candidates to receive at least 15% support in major polls to be included, which was increased from 10% after Wyllie met the initial criteria.[121] The decision has been criticised as "suppressing choice"[122] and the Wyllie campaign has filed a lawsuit to be included in the debate.[123] U.S. District Judge James I. Cohn dismissed the lawsuit.[124] At this debate, Scott refused to take the stage for seven minutes because Crist had a small electric fan under his lectern. The incident was dubbed "fangate" by media sources such as Politico.[125]

Polling[edit]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rick
Scott (R)
Charlie
Crist (D)
Adrian
Wyllie (L)
OtherUndecided
SurveyUSAOctober 10–13, 2014566± 4.2%41%45%7%7%
CNN/ORCOctober 9–13, 2014610 LV± 4%44%44%9%4%
850 RV± 3.5%40%42%10%8%
Gravis MarketingOctober 11–12, 20141,023± 3%44%42%14%
University of FloridaOctober 7–12, 2014781± 3.2%40%40%6%7%
0ptimusOctober 6–12, 20146,384± 1.3%39.4%40.5%13%7.1%
St. Pete PollsOctober 8–11, 20143,128± 1.8%45%44%8%3%
University of North FloridaSeptember 29 – October 8, 2014471± 4.74%38%43%10%<1%9%
42%47%2%9%
SurveyUSAOctober 2–6, 2014594± 4.1%42%44%6%8%
0ptimusSeptember 29 – October 5, 20146,494± 1.2%39.1%40.2%13.1%7.6%
Public Policy PollingOctober 3–4, 20141,161± 2.9%43%45%8%5%
CBS News/New York TimesSeptember 20 – October 1, 20145,689± 2%47%44%1%8%
SurveyUSASeptember 26–29, 2014588± 4.1%40%46%8%6%
0ptimusSeptember 22–28, 20143,356± 1.7%40.1%41.1%11.1%7.7%
SurveyUSASeptember 19–22, 2014588± 4.1%43%42%4%11%
QuinnipiacSeptember 17–22, 2014991± 3.1%44%42%8%1%5%
46%44%2%7%
Cherry CommunicationsSeptember 18–21, 2014 ?± 3.5%43%39%4%5%7%
0ptimusSeptember 15–21, 20146,079± 1.3%40.7%40.6%11.1%7.5%
SurveyUSASeptember 12–15, 2014571± 4.2%44%39%7%9%
0ptimusSeptember 8–14, 20143,660± 1.7%40.8%40.3%8.1%10.8%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 8–10, 20141,000± 3%40%42%18%
SurveyUSASeptember 5–8, 2014576± 4.2%45%44%3%8%
Associated IndustriesSeptember 4–7, 20141,000± 3.1%47%41%12%
AIF Political OperationsSeptember 4–7, 20141,000± 3.1%43%40%5%12%
46%40%14%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 4–7, 2014818± 3.8%39%42%8%11%
41%44%14%
0ptimusSeptember 1–7, 20144,386± 1.5%41.7%40.3%7.7%10.3%
Mason-DixonSeptember 2–4, 2014625± 4%43%41%4%1%11%
CBS News/New York TimesAugust 18 – September 2, 20145,962± 2%46%43%4%8%
University of FloridaAugust 27–31, 2014814± 3.4%40.93%35.74%6.32%17.01%
43.71%37.57%18.72%
SurveyUSAAugust 27–28, 2014580± 4.2%43%45%4%7%
Gravis MarketingAugust 14–24, 2014859± 4%37%37%26%
0ptimusAugust 18–24, 20149,333± 1%41.6%38.6%9%10.7%
SurveyUSAAugust 15–18, 2014564± 4.2%44%41%4%8%4%
0ptimusAugust 11–17, 201412,812± 0.9%43.5%41.1%15.4%
Cherry CommunicationsAugust 10–13, 2014627± 4%41%35%4%20%
44%41%15%
SurveyUSAJuly 31 – August 4, 2014576± 4.2%45%43%8%4%
0ptimusJuly 28 – August 3, 20144,714± 1.5%45.1%43.7%11.3%
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 29–30, 2014900± 3%42%41%8%9%
CBS News/New York TimesJuly 5–24, 20146,873± ?48%43%4%5%
QuinnipiacJuly 17–21, 20141,251± 2.8%37%39%9%1%15%
40%45%2%12%
SurveyUSAJuly 17–21, 2014564± 4.2%40%46%8%6%
Hart/North StarJune 26 – July 6, 20141,202± 3.5%47%40%13%
SurveyUSAJune 30 – July 4, 2014558± 4.2%45%43%7%5%
Gravis MarketingJune 20–23, 20141,232± 3%41%39%6%15%
SurveyUSAJune 20–23, 2014541± 4.3%42%41%8%8%
Cherry CommunicationsJune 11, 2014806± 3.5%41%38%4%17%
SurveyUSAJune 5–10, 2014556± 4.2%40%44%8%8%
Public Policy PollingJune 6–9, 2014672± 3.8%42%42%16%
Saint Leo UniversityMay 28 – June 4, 2014500± 5%43%41%16%
SurveyUSAMay 20–22, 2014531± 4.3%42%40%9%8%
SurveyUSAMay 9–12, 2014554± 4.2%41%44%7%8%
McLaughlin & AssociatesMay 4–6, 2014800± 3.4%42%38%20%
QuinnipiacApril 23–28, 20141,413± 2.6%38%48%2%12%
Gravis MarketingApril 23–25, 2014907± 3%44%43%5%9%
SurveyUSAApril 2014 ?± 4.3%41%44%6%8%
Rasmussen ReportsApril 21–22, 2014750± 4%39%45%6%10%
Mason-DixonApril 15–17 & 21–22, 2014700± 3.8%42%42%4%12%
Magellan StrategiesApril 14–15, 2014868± 3.33%45%43%5%7%
SurveyUSAApril 10–14, 2014502± 4.5%41%46%7%6%
Public Policy PollingApril 1–3, 2014814± 3.1%42%49%10%
Sunshine State NewsMarch 31 – April 3, 2014800± 3.46%45%44%1%10%
Saint Leo UniversityMarch 16–19, 2014500± 5.0%39%43%18%
University of North FloridaMarch 6–16, 2014507± 4.35%33%34%17%17%
University of FloridaJanuary 27 – February 1, 20141,006± 3%40%47%13%
Gravis MarketingJanuary 30–31, 2014808± 4%44%47%3%6%
QuinnipiacJanuary 22–27, 20141,565± 2.5%38%46%16%
Hamilton StrategiesJanuary 14–20, 2014700± 3.8%44%49%7%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 16–21, 2014591± 4%41%43%15%
Saint Leo UniversityDecember 1–8, 2013400± 5%34%46%20%
Fabrizio McLaughlinNovember 24–26, 20131,000± 3.1%45%49%6%
QuinnipiacNovember 12–17, 20131,646± 2.4%40%47%2%12%
Gravis MarketingNovember 8–10, 2013932± 3%36%46%19%
University of North FloridaSeptember 30 – October 8, 2013526± 4.27%40%44%2%14%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 27–29, 2013579± 4.1%38%50%12%
St. Pete PollsAugust 1–2, 20133,034± 1.8%29.5%40.1%8.7%21.7%
QuinnipiacJune 11–16, 20131,176± 2.9%37%47%2%12%
Public Policy PollingMarch 15–18, 2013500± 5.4%40%52%8%
QuinnipiacMarch 13–18, 20131,000± 3.1%34%50%1%15%
Hamilton StrategiesJanuary 30 – February 4, 2013600± 4%41%41%7%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 11–13, 2013501± 4.4%39%53%8%
Public Policy PollingAugust 31 – September 2, 20121,548± 2.5%42%45%13%
Public Policy PollingJuly 26–29, 2012871± 3.3%41%44%15%
Public Policy PollingNovember 28 – December 1, 2011700± 3.7%32%55%13%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 22–25, 2011476± 4.5%38%51%11%
Public Policy PollingJune 16–19, 2011848± 3.4%34%56%10%

See also[edit]

References[edit]

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